Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.482095 0.550431 0.621688 0.701253 0.787337 0.877394 0.978459
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.405378 0.503890 0.612139 0.738797 0.881832 1.037314 1.218058
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.328180 0.444091 0.578112 0.741870 0.933971 1.149743 1.407980
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.286097 0.418017 0.577533 0.779691 1.024274 1.306160 1.651120
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.238450 0.377890 0.554476 0.786512 1.075675 1.417044 1.843366
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.199722 0.343357 0.533644 0.792307 1.123437 1.522756 2.030310
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.172906 0.320898 0.525221 0.811403 1.186315 1.646578 2.240157
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.152390 0.304282 0.522219 0.835822 1.255083 1.777784 2.460267
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.134654 0.289122 0.519182 0.858736 1.321234 1.905921 2.677795
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.112889 0.264110 0.499219 0.856173 1.352345 1.989023 2.839382
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.098329 0.248786 0.491803 0.869839 1.404368 2.098780 3.035129
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.082215 0.227918 0.473661 0.866285 1.431731 2.175977 3.189590
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064283 0.200463 0.442849 0.842704 1.431073 2.217229 3.300141
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055560 0.189725 0.438294 0.857894 1.484718 2.331024 3.505889
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.043992 0.170133 0.416562 0.844969 1.497165 2.389116 3.639160
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039828 0.166731 0.422873 0.876045 1.573621 2.534752 3.889100
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.032697 0.154144 0.411154 0.877246 1.605806 2.619910 4.059531
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.026788 0.142975 0.400799 0.879722 1.639348 2.706876 4.232844
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.023142 0.137158 0.400106 0.897877 1.696395 2.826863 4.451332
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020482 0.133571 0.403393 0.922560 1.763449 2.961295 4.690189
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.018039 0.129917 0.406122 0.946139 1.829000 3.094157 4.927933
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.014189 0.119646 0.393876 0.942866 1.852685 3.167749 5.085449
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.011920 0.114365 0.391758 0.957107 1.903571 3.280317 5.296908